unbiased ai

Claude Opus 5 vs Fable 5

On the rate card, Opus 5 is half the price: $5 in / $25 out per million tokens against Fable 5's $10 / $50. On a metered task the gap narrows, because Opus 5 spends more tokens doing the same job.

Prices are provider list rates, July 2026. Task bills are our own metered runs, not token math.

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Claude Opus 5

Launched Jul 24, 2026, same card as Opus 4.8

$5 / $25 in / out, per Mtok

This task, metered
$0.1158Same fixed prompt on every model, run the same day, priced from the provider's own bill, not token estimates. Raw outputs are in the Fable 5 pricing breakdown.
Tokens on this task
4,610Tokens billed on the identical task in the July 2026 run. Opus 4.8 spent 2,877 on the same job.
Output over input
5x

Fable 5

The frontier model, API-only since Jul 7

$10 / $50 in / out, per Mtok

This task, metered
$0.1462Same fixed prompt on every model, run the same day, priced from the provider's own bill, not token estimates. Raw outputs are in the Fable 5 pricing breakdown.
Access
API usage creditsFable 5 left the Claude subscription plans on Jul 7, 2026. Subscriptions had carried weekly usage limits since summer 2025, metered in 5-hour session windows.
Output over input
5x

The tale of the tape, receipts included. Any number with an i button carries its method note; hover it, tap it, or tab to it.

The short version

2xthe rate-card gap: $10 / $50 against $5 / $25Provider list rates for July 2026, per million tokens, input and output.
21%the actual gap between the two metered bills$0.1462 against $0.1158 on the same task, a difference of $0.0304.
$0.0304saved per task by picking Opus 5, on the meter
4,610tokens Opus 5 spent where Opus 4.8 spent 2,877

One task, two bills

The fixed dashboard build we meter every model against. Bars scale to the bills; flip to the rate card to see why the card alone misleads.

Fable 5$0.1462
Claude Opus 5$0.1158
Pareto, July 2026 measured$0.0196

Preliminary Pareto 26.10 scores and cost per task on four benchmarks are on the model card. These results may change before final publication, and no composite score is published.

Upper bar is the input rate, lower bar the output rate, dollars per million tokens.

Fable 5$10 in / $50 out
Claude Opus 5$5 in / $25 out
Pareto, the blendper-token credits

Current Pareto rates are $0.80 input, $0.03 cached input, and $3.20 output per million tokens. The figures here are historical July 2026 measurements, not current-release task costs.

Output tokens bill at five times input on both cards. Verbose models feel that multiplier; the metered view shows the result.

25
$109.65Fable 5, a month of this task
$86.85Opus 5, a month of this task
$14.70Pareto, July 2026 measured task projected over a month; not a 26.10 bill

At 25 tasks a day, picking Opus 5 over Fable 5 saves $22.80 a month on this task. Sending it to the blend saves $94.95.

Straight multiplication: tasks a day, times 30, times the metered per-task bill. Your tasks will differ. Meter them.

The token catch nobody prices

Half the rate is not half the bill. Opus 5 wrote about 60% more tokens than Opus 4.8 on the same job, and Fable 5 bills every one of its tokens at double Opus rates. If you are choosing between these two on price, the only honest comparison is a metered task, and the metered gap here is 21%, not 50%.

Claude Opus 5

4,610 tokens

Claude Opus 4.8

2,877 tokens
One dot, one billed token, identical task, July 2026 run. The dashed line on the Opus 5 panel marks where Opus 4.8 stopped writing; the orange dots past it are the extra spend. Same rate card, so every orange dot is bill, not price.

The whole field

List rates per provider. Metered bills: the same fixed task, same day, priced from provider bills. Sort any column.

List rates and July 2026 metered task bills across models
Model Notes
Fable 5$10$50$0.1462Left Claude subscription plans Jul 7; API usage credits
Claude Opus 5$5$25$0.1158Launched Jul 24; same card as Opus 4.8
Claude Opus 4.8$5$25$0.0724The previous flagship
Kimi K3$3$15queuedAPI live Jul 16; cache-hit input $0.30; flat across context
GPT-6.1 Sol$2$10not runList rates only; cached input $0.10
Claude Sonnet 5.5$2$10not runReleased Sep 28, 2026; cache hits $0.10
Sonnet 5$2$10$0.0410$2 / $10 now standard; Sep 1 increase cancelled
GPT-6 Luna$0.10$0.50not run
Haiku 4.5off-listoff-list$0.0162Metered in the same run; its card is not tracked on this page

Rates move. Dated changes are on the timeline below; the next scheduled list-price increases (Gemini 4 Argon on Dec 1, 2026 and Gemini Flash on Jan 1, 2027) are tracked on the AI price tracker.

How the prices moved

Jul 24: Opus 5 launches

Opus 5 launched at $5 / $25, the same card as Opus 4.8. Same rates, different token appetite: 4,610 tokens against 2,877 on our fixed task.

Sonnet 5 update: the Sep 1 increase was cancelled; $2/$10 is now standard.

Method and caveats

How the metered bills are made

One harness, every model, the same day: identical prompts, standard retries, no per-model tuning. Cost is read off the provider's bill per completed task, never estimated from token math. The current model card publishes preliminary Pareto 26.10 scores and cost per task on four benchmarks. No composite score is published for this release.

Why the rate card alone misleads

Cards price tokens; bills price behavior. On the identical task, Opus 5 billed 4,610 tokens where Opus 4.8 billed 2,877, about 60% more, on the same rates. Output tokens run 5 to 6x input across the July cards, so verbosity compounds fast.

The second task we meter

Preliminary Pareto 26.10 scores and cost per task on four benchmarks are on the model card. These results may change before final publication, and no composite score is published.

What a gateway hop adds in latency

Twenty streamed runs, gateway against direct: median time to first token was 68ms slower through the gateway, and p95 through the gateway beat direct. The hop’s cost is measurable and small.

3/4of an English word, roughly one token; a million tokens is about 750k words
5 to 6xoutput rate over input rate across the July 2026 cards
2.6xcheaper: one real Claude Code session, priced with and without prompt cachingA real session ledger: $0.5887 total across five API calls, 78x more tokens read than written. Full breakdown is on the Opus 4.8 page of this series.

New head-to-heads land by email first

Same harness, both models, bills published beside scores. One email per matchup, the day it lands. Nothing else.

One request in, one answer out: Pareto selects frontier and open models for each request and blends their outputs into one answer, so you skip this choice entirely.

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